1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 91 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 91 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 208. 128. 137. 159. 181. 235. 300. 573. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 8.3799E+01 + 1.4941E+00 LN(FLOW) - 7.8254E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.9038E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 4.2202E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.038 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 13.57 ( 15 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.559 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 8.3799E+01 + 1.4941E+00 LN(FLOW) - 7.8254E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.9038E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 4.2202E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.038 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 8.4384E+01 + 1.3980E+00 LN(FLOW) - 5.6510E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.9318E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 4.2746E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.50 4.10 2.00 2.10 1.80 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.09 0.28 0.06 0.07 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 7. 15. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 13. 150. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.50 4.10 2.00 2.10 1.80 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. 7. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 13. 154. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.40 3.90 2.00 2.10 1.80 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 4. 4. 4. 4. 5. 6. 12. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 12. 119. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2.4 1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 93 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 93 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 207. 128. 137. 158. 179. 232. 299. 573. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 8.7089E+01 + 5.0636E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.3765E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.9170E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0702E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 3.9109E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.045 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 54.28 ( 15 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 8.7089E+01 + 5.0636E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.3765E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.9170E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0702E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 3.9109E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.045 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 8.6951E+01 + 5.0807E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.3686E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.0060E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.3046E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 3.9000E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.10 3.10 1.80 1.90 1.70 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.06 0.16 0.06 0.08 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 4. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 8. 10. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.10 3.10 1.80 1.90 1.70 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 3. 4. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 8. 11. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.20 3.10 1.80 1.90 1.80 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 3. 4. 4. 4. 4. 5. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 8. 12. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2.2 1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 94 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 89 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 207. 128. 138. 158. 180. 231. 299. 573. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.1049E+02 - 1.5116E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4857E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 7.8756E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.3454E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 3.2686E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.158 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 39.04 ( 15 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 5.7757E+02 - 1.4441E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4293E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 7.4739E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.7764E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 3.0938E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.106 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 5.7722E+02 - 1.4486E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.4941E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.3298E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.2380E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 3.0856E-01 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. ERROR IN FUNCTION GM -- MAGNITUDE OF ARGUMENT IS TOO LARGE WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.06 0.16 0.03 0.01 0.04 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 53. 210. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 7862. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 76655. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 390. 1500. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 58282. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. 568233. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.04 1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 86 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 86 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 128. 136. 160. 194. 241. 302. 573. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.7928E+01 - 1.0358E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.1195E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.2549E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.5946E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.218 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 13.54 ( 14 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.484 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.7928E+01 - 1.0358E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.1195E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.2549E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.5946E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.218 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.8443E+01 - 1.0423E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.1127E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.8886E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.9409E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.88 3.40 0.07 0.05 0.05 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.82 3.20 0.01 0.00 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 110. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1077. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 29. 110. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 4307. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2. 41987. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 19. 74. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2778. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 27085. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.08 WARNING: ESTIMATE OF MEAN ANNUAL LOAD CALCULATED BY RATING-CURVE METHOD AND BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR DIFFER BY MORE THAN ONE ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 94 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 74 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 206. 128. 138. 158. 179. 229. 299. 573. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 7.6889E+02 + 2.6673E+01 LN(FLOW) - 2.1324E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 - 4.2490E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.908 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 55.16 ( 15 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.3442E+02 + 2.0735E+01 LN(FLOW) - 1.6201E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.4891E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.625 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.5322E+02 + 3.0660E+01 LN(FLOW) - 2.4743E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.7265E-01 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. ERROR IN FUNCTION GM -- MAGNITUDE OF ARGUMENT IS TOO LARGE 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.01 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.02 1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 92 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 92 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 203. 128. 140. 159. 179. 228. 294. 561. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.5215E+01 - 1.1548E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.2728E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2599E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.5626E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.371 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 21.64 ( 15 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.118 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.5215E+01 - 1.1548E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.2728E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2599E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.5626E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.371 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.5438E+01 - 1.1587E+01 LN(FLOW) + 1.2696E+00 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.2795E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.1983E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 65. 220. 16. 7. 13. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 46. 180. 2. 1. 4. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 9. 13. 18. 31. 45. 62. 434. 3755. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 5. 9. 18. 33. 56. 811. 14381. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 110000. 450000. 18. 7. 16. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 13. 19. 33. 47. 65. 571. ******** PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 6. 10. 19. 35. 59. 1072. ******** LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 91000. 360000. 17. 7. 15. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 14. 19. 33. 46. 63. 528. ******** PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 6. 10. 18. 34. 57. 987. ******** LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 21. 1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 95 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 95 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 207. 128. 138. 159. 179. 229. 299. 573. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.8045E+02 + 8.5370E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.8426E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 6.2699E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.6122E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 8.2144E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.035 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 43.88 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.8045E+02 + 8.5370E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.8426E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 6.2699E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.6122E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 8.2144E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.035 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.8052E+02 + 8.5277E+00 LN(FLOW) - 6.7691E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 5.3952E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.3261E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 8.2106E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6.60 9.00 6.10 5.80 5.40 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.13 0.31 0.18 0.19 0.18 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 15. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 5. 6. 8. 10. 11. 14. 15. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6.50 9.00 6.10 5.80 5.40 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 11. 12. 13. 14. 14. 15. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 5. 6. 8. 10. 11. 14. 15. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6.60 9.10 6.00 5.80 5.30 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 5. 6. 8. 10. 11. 15. 16. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 6.7 1 STATION NAME: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M DRAINAGE AREA: 322.2 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silicon LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19931001 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 95 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 95 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 207. 128. 138. 159. 179. 229. 299. 573. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 211. 116. 136. 157. 186. 230. 280. 3615. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.4626E+01 + 9.6326E-01 LN(FLOW) - 8.4800E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0698E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.0569E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.048 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 25.08 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.068 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.4626E+01 + 9.6326E-01 LN(FLOW) - 8.4800E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0698E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.0569E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.048 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.4319E+01 + 9.0138E-01 LN(FLOW) - 6.4688E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.0308E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 4.0233E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Whitewater River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: WW01.3M LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.40 4.30 2.90 3.40 3.00 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.09 0.22 0.10 0.13 0.12 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 3. 3. 4. 5. 5. 10. 47. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.40 4.30 2.90 3.40 3.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 5. 6. 7. 7. 7. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 3. 3. 4. 5. 5. 10. 48. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.40 4.20 3.00 3.30 3.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 6. 6. 7. 7. 7. 7. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 3. 3. 4. 5. 5. 9. 41. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 3.4