1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                   
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen                               
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:   101        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:   101
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       771.      192.      348.      458.      595.      865.     1550.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 4.0747E-01 + 1.4299E+00 LN(FLOW) - 7.7943E-02 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.8551E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.094
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =   17.27 ( 17 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.436
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 4.0747E-01 + 1.4299E+00 LN(FLOW) - 7.7943E-02 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.8551E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.094
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 9.5078E-01 + 1.3513E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.5665E-02 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.0043E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 
 WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM
          OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION.
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River       (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            12.       21.       13.        7.        5.
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)             1.        2.        1.        0.        0.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        4.        4.        5.        6.        7.        9.       15.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         2.        5.        7.       11.       22.       34.      108.      434.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            12.       21.       13.        7.        5.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        4.        4.        5.        6.        7.        9.       15.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         2.        5.        7.       11.       22.       34.      108.      440.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            11.       20.       13.        7.        5.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        4.        4.        5.        6.        6.        9.       12.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         2.        5.        7.       10.       22.       33.       97.      363.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):      11.
1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                  
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite                               
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:   102        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:   102
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       784.      192.      348.      450.      596.      871.     1575.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 1.0207E+00 + 1.3263E+00 LN(FLOW) + 5.3177E-02 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.5237E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.090
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =   19.19 ( 17 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.318
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 1.0207E+00 + 1.3263E+00 LN(FLOW) + 5.3177E-02 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.5237E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.090
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 2.8588E-01 + 1.4480E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.6929E-02 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 2.5970E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 
 WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM
          OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION.
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River       (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            11.       20.       11.        6.        5.
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)             1.        2.        1.        0.        0.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        4.        4.        5.        6.        6.        8.       12.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         2.        5.        6.       10.       21.       31.       88.      348.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            11.       20.       11.        6.        5.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        4.        4.        5.        5.        6.        8.       12.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         2.        5.        6.       10.       21.       31.       88.      352.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            12.       24.       11.        6.        5.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        4.        4.        5.        6.        7.       11.       18.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         2.        4.        6.       10.       22.       35.      104.      525.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):      10.
1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                   
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia                            
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:   103        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:    77
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       781.      192.      349.      454.      595.      869.     1572.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 1.3568E+03 + 2.3936E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.1107E+00 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 5.3001E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 6.7399E-01 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    3.655
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =   73.45 ( 17 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.001
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 1.1035E+03 + 2.2679E+00 LN(FLOW) + 8.7497E-01 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 5.5128E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 5.4757E-01 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    2.985
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 1.1024E+03 + 2.5246E+00 LN(FLOW) + 9.1219E-01 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 5.9741E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 5.4628E-01 DECTIME
 
 
 WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM
          OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION.
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River      (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.76      2.60      0.17      0.03      0.10
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.46      1.70      0.07      0.01      0.04
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.        6.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.       16.       87.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.43      1.40      0.11      0.02      0.06
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        4.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        8.       48.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.66      2.30      0.13      0.02      0.06
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        2.        6.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        1.       12.       86.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):       0.13
1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                  
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus                             
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:    95        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:    95
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       798.      192.      354.      474.      613.      876.     1565.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 2.2324E+02 + 1.8966E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.0863E-01 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.522
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =   18.91 ( 16 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.273
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 2.2324E+02 + 1.8966E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.0863E-01 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.522
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 2.2274E+02 + 1.9949E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.0806E-01 DECTIME
 
 
 NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY
       CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL.  MODEL
       SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION.
 
 
 WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM
          OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION.
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River     (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.46      1.00      0.51      0.15      0.09
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.07      0.21      0.07      0.01      0.01
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        1.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.        6.       34.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.46      1.00      0.50      0.15      0.09
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        1.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.        6.       36.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.51      1.20      0.55      0.15      0.09
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.        7.       47.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):       0.47
1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                   
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus                     
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:   103        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:    77
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       781.      192.      349.      454.      595.      869.     1572.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 1.1996E+03 + 1.5933E+01 LN(FLOW) - 9.9344E-01 LN(FLOW)**2
            + 1.5820E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 8.9040E-01 COS(DECTIME)
            - 6.3016E-01 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    2.358
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =   45.76 ( 17 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.001
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 9.0367E+02 + 1.2018E+01 LN(FLOW) - 7.1632E-01 LN(FLOW)**2
            + 8.2413E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.1972E-01 COS(DECTIME)
            - 4.7489E-01 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    1.987
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 9.0333E+02 + 1.2081E+01 LN(FLOW) - 6.9812E-01 LN(FLOW)**2
            + 1.6245E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 8.0110E-01 COS(DECTIME)
            - 4.7533E-01 DECTIME
 
 
 NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY
       CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL.  MODEL
       SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION.
 
 
 WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM
          OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION.
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River        (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.16      0.34      0.14      0.09      0.07
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.05      0.13      0.05      0.03      0.03
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.        3.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.14      0.28      0.13      0.07      0.05
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        2.        2.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           0.19      0.44      0.16      0.07      0.06
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         0.        0.        0.        0.        0.        1.        3.        5.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):       0.09
1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                  
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment                     
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:   100        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:   100
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       750.      192.      347.      443.      588.      861.     1529.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 1.9152E+01 - 4.3981E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.9378E-01 LN(FLOW)**2
            - 8.7902E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 6.1896E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.515
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =   29.03 ( 17 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.034
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 1.9152E+01 - 4.3981E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.9378E-01 LN(FLOW)**2
            - 8.7902E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 6.1896E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.515
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 1.8966E+01 - 4.4600E+00 LN(FLOW) + 5.0765E-01 LN(FLOW)**2
            - 1.0282E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.7431E-01 COS(DECTIME)
 
 
 WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS THE MAXIMUM
          OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION.
 
 
      WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River      (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)           810.     2300.      730.       49.       16.
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)           510.     1600.      280.        7.        2.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        10.       16.       35.       57.      132.      230.     1071.    11569.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         5.       19.       53.      113.      498.     1139.    12506.   345377.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)          1400.     4200.      870.       51.       17.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        11.       17.       37.       59.      140.      243.     1293.    27742.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         6.       20.       56.      119.      525.     1221.    15218.   828196.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)          1900.     6300.     1000.       54.       19.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        12.       18.       36.       56.      146.      260.     1742.    44275.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         6.       21.       55.      117.      554.     1355.    19069.  1321738.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):     270.
1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                   
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride                           
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:   103        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:   102
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       781.      192.      349.      454.      595.      869.     1572.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 1.9460E+02 + 9.3001E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.0006E-01 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.712
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =  177.33 ( 17 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.001
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 1.9249E+02 + 9.2886E-01 LN(FLOW) + 9.9011E-02 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.705
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = - 8.4864E+01 + 9.4020E-01 LN(FLOW) + 4.5086E-02 DECTIME
 
 
 NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY
       CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL.  MODEL
       SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION.
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River       (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            52.       76.       60.       38.       29.
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)             6.       11.        7.        4.        4.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        16.       23.       27.       30.       32.       33.       34.       34.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        14.       31.       41.       57.       88.      117.      229.      481.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            43.       63.       49.       31.       24.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        14.       19.       22.       24.       26.       27.       28.       28.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        12.       25.       33.       47.       72.       97.      194.      426.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            43.       64.       50.       31.       24.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        17.       20.       22.       23.       24.       24.       24.       25.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
        12.       25.       33.       47.       77.      102.      203.      495.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):      42.
1
 
 
 
 STATION NAME:  Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River                   
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 DRAINAGE AREA:     1414.0 SQUARE MILES
 
 CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silicon                             
 LOAD ESTIMATES FOR   19930101 TO   19970930
 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.:   103        NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.:   103
 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997
 
 
 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       781.      192.      349.      454.      595.      869.     1572.     3144.
 
 PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS
       MEAN   MINIMUM  10TH PCT  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT   MAXIMUM
       769.      192.      335.      420.      567.      811.     1416.    11069.
 
 WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST
          CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0
 
 
 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 7.8098E+01 + 1.1031E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.1995E-01 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.3438E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.7821E-02 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.090
 
 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC =   38.22 ( 17 DF)
 PROBABILITY LEVEL =  0.002
 
 
 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 7.8098E+01 + 1.1031E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.1995E-01 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.3438E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.7821E-02 DECTIME
 
 ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE =    0.090
 
 
 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL
 ---------------------------------------------------

 LN(LOAD) = + 7.8019E+01 + 1.0558E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.8297E-02 SIN(DECTIME)
            + 1.1388E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.7590E-02 DECTIME
 
 
 NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY
       CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL.  MODEL
       SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION.
 
1
 
 
 
 STATION:   Zumbro River near confluence with Mississippi River       (CONTINUED)
 STATION NUMBER:  ZM00.1M        
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            11.       16.       12.        9.        6.
 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY)             0.        1.        1.        0.        0.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         4.        5.        5.        6.        6.        6.        7.        7.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        6.        8.       11.       20.       28.       68.      199.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.)
 ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            11.       16.       12.        9.        6.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         4.        5.        5.        6.        6.        6.        7.        7.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        6.        8.       11.       20.       28.       68.      200.
 
 
 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.)
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
                                ANNUAL    SPRING    SUMMER      FALL    WINTER
 AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY)            11.       17.       12.        8.        6.
 
 
 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         4.        5.        5.        6.        6.        6.        6.        6.
 
 PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY)
    MINIMUM  25TH PCT    MEDIAN  75TH PCT  90TH PCT  95TH PCT  99TH PCT   MAXIMUM
         3.        6.        8.       11.       20.       28.       65.      190.
 
 
 LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR
 ---------------------------------------
 
 AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY):      11.