1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 DRAINAGE AREA: 129.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19810101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 115 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 115 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 85. 19. 28. 40. 61. 108. 184. 529. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 84. 16. 27. 38. 56. 97. 157. 3413. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 4.5114E+01 - 2.4539E-01 LN(FLOW) + 7.7290E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.0728E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.4309E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 2.6330E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.066 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 18.31 ( 20 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.567 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 4.5114E+01 - 2.4539E-01 LN(FLOW) + 7.7290E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.0728E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.4309E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 2.6330E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.066 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 4.6188E+01 - 5.5833E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.1577E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 8.9825E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.7918E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 2.7183E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.10 1.40 1.10 1.00 0.94 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.05 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 6. 8. 10. 12. 13. 14. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 14. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.10 1.40 1.10 1.00 0.94 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 6. 8. 10. 12. 13. 15. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 16. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.10 1.50 1.10 1.10 0.96 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 5. 6. 8. 10. 12. 14. 15. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 4. 31. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.1 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 DRAINAGE AREA: 129.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19810101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 126 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 126 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 85. 19. 28. 41. 61. 109. 170. 529. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 84. 16. 27. 38. 56. 97. 157. 3413. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 5.0889E+01 + 2.8720E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.0656E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.8764E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 2.8711E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.093 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 23.33 ( 22 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.383 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 5.0889E+01 + 2.8720E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.0656E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.8764E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 2.8711E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.093 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 5.0791E+01 + 3.0469E-01 LN(FLOW) + 9.9541E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.6503E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 2.8626E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.89 1.10 0.83 0.82 0.85 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.05 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 4. 5. 7. 9. 10. 12. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.89 1.10 0.83 0.82 0.84 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 4. 5. 7. 9. 10. 12. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 3. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.89 1.10 0.83 0.83 0.85 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 4. 5. 7. 9. 10. 12. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 3. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.88 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 DRAINAGE AREA: 129.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19810101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 126 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 118 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 85. 19. 28. 41. 61. 109. 170. 529. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 84. 16. 27. 38. 56. 97. 157. 3413. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6000E+02 + 8.8373E-01 LN(FLOW) + 3.6371E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.2502E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 8.0672E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.909 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 53.11 ( 22 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.4237E+02 + 9.0706E-01 LN(FLOW) + 3.3862E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.2437E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 7.1833E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.877 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.4269E+02 + 1.0109E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.6959E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 9.7286E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 7.2316E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.04 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.02 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.04 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.02 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.03 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 DRAINAGE AREA: 129.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19810101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 125 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 125 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 85. 19. 28. 41. 61. 109. 172. 529. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 84. 16. 27. 38. 56. 97. 157. 3413. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.8886E+01 + 2.6012E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.6752E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.193 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 51.63 ( 22 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.8886E+01 + 2.6012E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.6752E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.193 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.4643E+01 + 1.9067E-01 LN(FLOW) + 9.7195E-03 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.12 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.14 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.13 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.14 1 STATION NAME: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 DRAINAGE AREA: 129.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Solids LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19810101 TO 19961231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 125 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 125 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1996 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 85. 19. 28. 41. 61. 109. 172. 529. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 84. 16. 27. 38. 56. 97. 157. 3413. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.1152E+01 + 2.7010E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.9920E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 5.4477E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 6.5877E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.5694E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.480 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 28.31 ( 22 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.166 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.1152E+01 + 2.7010E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.9920E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 5.4477E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 6.5877E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.5694E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.480 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 9.3321E+01 + 3.4559E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.7962E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.2148E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 6.3904E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.7647E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Vermillion River northeast of Farmington, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: VR-32.5 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.50 3.60 3.80 1.80 0.79 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.20 0.42 0.37 0.23 0.10 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 7. 10. 16. 21. 25. 28. 31. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 3. 6. 7. 10. 15. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.70 3.90 4.10 2.00 0.83 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 7. 11. 17. 23. 26. 30. 33. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 4. 6. 8. 11. 17. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.70 3.80 4.20 2.10 0.85 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 7. 11. 17. 23. 27. 31. 35. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 4. 6. 8. 10. 16. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 3.0