1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 91 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 90 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 119530. 37767. 54549. 77856. 95931. 147431. 207817. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.3460E+00 + 1.3224E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.6124E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.7612E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.389 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 70.11 ( 15 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.3353E+00 + 1.3216E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.5979E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.8230E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.385 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 7.6066E-01 + 1.2750E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.9700E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 8.3399E-02 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1000. 1600. 1300. 540. 530. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 100. 210. 160. 69. 65. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 4. 5. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 161. 398. 634. 1325. 2385. 3156. 4775. 7575. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 960. 1500. 1200. 500. 490. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 4. 4. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 149. 367. 585. 1217. 2204. 2918. 4459. 7201. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 940. 1400. 1300. 510. 450. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 4. 4. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 153. 370. 585. 1177. 2110. 2813. 4253. 7103. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 870. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 98 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 98 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 123599. 38776. 55680. 75609. 100324. 150965. 238313. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1583E+02 + 9.4981E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.6419E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.6544E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.2613E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3201E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.095 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 19.91 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.224 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1583E+02 + 9.4981E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.6419E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.6544E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.2613E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3201E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.095 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 2.1629E+02 + 9.6190E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.6588E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.0408E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0182E-02 COS(DECTIME) - 1.3281E-01 DECTIME 1 STATION: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 480. 750. 550. 280. 310. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 21. 43. 32. 16. 19. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 77. 215. 375. 678. 977. 1125. 1400. 1564. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 490. 760. 550. 280. 310. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 77. 215. 375. 679. 981. 1130. 1404. 1570. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 500. 800. 550. 280. 330. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 75. 208. 381. 712. 1034. 1224. 1549. 1755. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 460. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 99 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 92 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 122732. 37767. 54226. 68868. 99667. 150460. 237303. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.5295E+02 - 1.1825E+01 LN(FLOW) + 5.7091E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 9.1523E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.8905E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 1.6187E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.233 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 37.99 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.002 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.3741E+02 - 1.1223E+01 LN(FLOW) + 5.4401E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 8.8305E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 7.6097E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 1.5241E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.159 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.3706E+02 - 1.1289E+01 LN(FLOW) + 5.4100E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 4.5148E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 5.5317E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 1.5290E-01 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 31. 60. 20. 10. 30. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 6. 13. 6. 2. 6. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 8. 19. 32. 67. 97. 284. 491. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 28. 54. 20. 10. 27. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 7. 17. 29. 62. 88. 263. 494. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 23. 36. 22. 13. 19. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 10. 14. 23. 46. 64. 160. 418. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 20. - 21. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 84 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 83 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 118940. 37767. 52560. 67152. 90680. 148189. 223166. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.8790E+00 + 1.6118E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.8418E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.6083E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.638 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 26.39 ( 13 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.015 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.8635E+00 + 1.6106E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.8138E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.6189E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.631 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 6.9294E+00 + 1.6156E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.0771E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.5375E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 160. 270. 240. 71. 59. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 24. 45. 41. 13. 10. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 14. 44. 79. 199. 417. 592. 1005. 1846. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 150. 240. 220. 66. 54. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 13. 40. 72. 182. 382. 547. 937. 1789. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 150. 220. 240. 77. 47. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 11. 41. 72. 181. 380. 556. 943. 2132. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 140. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 97 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 96 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 123456. 37767. 54226. 78361. 99667. 151470. 239323. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.5129E+02 + 1.1210E+01 LN(FLOW) - 4.3196E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.0693E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.522 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 68.25 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.4998E+02 + 1.1126E+01 LN(FLOW) - 4.2820E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.0604E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.517 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.5023E+02 + 1.1096E+01 LN(FLOW) - 4.2809E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.0594E-01 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 21. 26. 26. 18. 13. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 2. 3. 3. 2. 1. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 10. 17. 29. 43. 53. 60. 61. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 20. 24. 24. 17. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 15. 27. 40. 50. 57. 59. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 19. 24. 24. 16. 12. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 15. 26. 39. 49. 55. 56. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 19. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 97 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 97 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 121980. 37767. 54226. 73312. 96133. 149451. 239323. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.6939E+02 + 2.1638E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.1391E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.1382E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 1.3164E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.412 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 11.81 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.757 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.6939E+02 + 2.1638E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.1391E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.1382E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 1.3164E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.412 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.7452E+02 + 2.3372E+00 LN(FLOW) + 3.1873E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 4.1208E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 1.3318E-01 DECTIME WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 160000. 270000. 260000. 51000. 35000. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 20000. 36000. 37000. 7800. 4700. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 43. 103. 184. 409. 695. 919. 1340. 2052. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4325. 22599. 48501. 168988. 453051. 697557. 1447328. 3090359. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 160000. 270000. 260000. 51000. 35000. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 43. 102. 183. 408. 695. 917. 1354. 2074. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4322. 22489. 48363. 168956. 453941. 698348. 1467078. 3187891. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 190000. 300000. 340000. 61000. 32000. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 32. 96. 183. 428. 824. 1108. 1774. 2761. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3215. 20422. 49441. 179648. 544243. 893445. 1931584. 5095724. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 160000. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 96 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 96 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 123648. 37767. 54226. 78108. 97900. 151975. 240332. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.5756E+02 + 6.3647E-01 LN(FLOW) - 7.4557E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.132 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 49.13 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.5756E+02 + 6.3647E-01 LN(FLOW) - 7.4557E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.132 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 6.8419E+01 + 6.3620E-01 LN(FLOW) - 2.9871E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6100. 7000. 7300. 5500. 4600. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 280. 360. 400. 220. 220. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 11. 17. 19. 23. 25. 26. 28. 29. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2613. 4290. 5409. 7293. 9562. 11694. 15292. 21815. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 6000. 6900. 7200. 5400. 4500. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 11. 16. 19. 22. 25. 26. 27. 29. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2574. 4217. 5318. 7175. 9414. 11529. 15115. 21659. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 5900. 6700. 7000. 5300. 4400. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 16. 19. 22. 24. 25. 27. 28. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2620. 4289. 5316. 6937. 9171. 10610. 13930. 19739. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 6000. 1 STATION NAME: Missouri River near confluence with Mississippi River STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X DRAINAGE AREA: 529350.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silicon LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19930101 TO 19970930 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 96 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 96 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1993 TO 1997 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 123648. 37767. 54226. 78108. 97900. 151975. 240332. 441283. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 129441. 35040. 54226. 74195. 103000. 154499. 238313. 746242. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.3644E+02 + 8.9114E-01 LN(FLOW) - 6.6111E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.064 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 36.76 ( 16 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.002 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.3644E+02 + 8.9114E-01 LN(FLOW) - 6.6111E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.064 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9351E+02 + 8.1460E-01 LN(FLOW) - 9.4238E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Missouri River (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: MO02.2X LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1700. 2000. 2200. 1500. 1100. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 57. 75. 89. 42. 36. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. 6. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 512. 1034. 1396. 2053. 3016. 3827. 5588. 9158. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1700. 2000. 2200. 1400. 1100. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 4. 5. 5. 5. 6. 6. 6. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 509. 1028. 1387. 2041. 2999. 3808. 5565. 9142. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1700. 2000. 2100. 1500. 1100. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 3. 4. 5. 6. 6. 6. 6. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 549. 1032. 1390. 2034. 2881. 3734. 5276. 8361. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1700.