1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 53 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 53 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1982 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 756. 2. 4. 30. 129. 382. 2092. 12100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 7.3715E+01 + 1.1713E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.7384E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.2649E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.6404E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.119 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 11.33 ( 7 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.125 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 7.3715E+01 + 1.1713E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.7384E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.2649E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.6404E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.119 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 7.4133E+01 + 1.1776E+00 LN(FLOW) + 2.5240E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.2122E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.6617E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 8. 12. 4. 5. 9. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 2. 1. 1. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 12. 31. 130. 1222. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 8. 12. 4. 6. 9. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 1. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 12. 31. 132. 1267. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 8. 13. 4. 5. 10. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 2. 2. 3. 4. 5. 7. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 12. 33. 140. 1269. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 5.9 1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 100 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 75 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1982 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1014. 2. 6. 39. 158. 448. 1797. 25800. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.9982E+02 + 2.4327E+00 LN(FLOW) - 9.9173E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.8619E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.4862E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 1.0220E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.944 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 35.54 ( 17 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.005 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6957E+02 + 2.0992E+00 LN(FLOW) - 7.6265E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.6444E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.2914E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.6392E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.840 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 1.6278E+02 + 2.1206E+00 LN(FLOW) - 8.2294E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 3.4126E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.7944E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 8.2817E-02 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.60 5.90 1.10 1.80 5.60 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.79 1.40 0.30 0.52 1.30 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 2. 10. 20. 49. 125. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.60 5.90 1.20 1.90 5.50 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 2. 3. 3. 4. 5. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 2. 9. 19. 51. 192. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.00 5.00 1.10 1.60 4.50 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 2. 3. 3. 4. 4. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 2. 8. 16. 39. 117. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.9 1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 51 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 47 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1986 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 772. 2. 4. 27. 126. 371. 2176. 12100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.2016E+00 + 1.3499E+00 LN(FLOW) + 6.2710E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.6682E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.769 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 5.30 ( 7 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.623 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.0643E+00 + 1.3292E+00 LN(FLOW) + 5.6448E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.3858E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.747 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.0436E+00 + 1.3305E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.0464E-03 SIN(DECTIME) + 4.4851E-01 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.54 0.75 0.20 0.49 0.71 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.17 0.22 0.07 0.21 0.24 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 10. 131. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.52 0.71 0.20 0.49 0.68 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 9. 127. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.53 0.67 0.18 0.54 0.75 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 10. 147. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.31 1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 100 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 99 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1982 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 1014. 2. 6. 39. 158. 448. 1797. 25800. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.0642E+00 + 1.3063E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.3971E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.7210E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.282 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 19.12 ( 17 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.322 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.0464E+00 + 1.3035E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.4402E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.7056E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.282 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.0483E+00 + 1.2891E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.6977E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.9238E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.86 1.00 0.59 1.10 0.78 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.13 0.13 0.10 0.21 0.11 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. 16. 226. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.88 1.00 0.60 1.10 0.80 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. 16. 234. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.83 0.94 0.58 1.10 0.74 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. 16. 220. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.80 1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus (measured as Dissolved Orthophosphate) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 52 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 26 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1986 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 761. 2. 4. 28. 128. 360. 2134. 12100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.5150E+02 + 1.4864E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.7404E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.070 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 27.19 ( 7 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.3074E+02 + 1.3597E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.1390E-01 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.875 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.9531E+02 + 1.2367E+00 LN(FLOW) + 9.6429E-02 DECTIME WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.32 0.50 0.19 0.44 0.17 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.12 0.18 0.07 0.17 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 5. 153. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.27 0.41 0.16 0.32 0.19 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 5. 89. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.18 0.27 0.11 0.19 0.15 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 3. 45. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 0.26 1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 41 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 41 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1986 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 560. 2. 4. 12. 100. 349. 1754. 8280. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.1280E+00 + 6.9461E-01 LN(FLOW) + 8.2179E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 5.0524E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.0921E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.399 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 5.50 ( 5 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.358 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.1280E+00 + 6.9461E-01 LN(FLOW) + 8.2179E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 5.0524E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.0921E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.399 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 5.7141E+00 + 4.5637E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.0376E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.5901E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.2204E-01 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 8500. 13000. 3700. 11000. 6500. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 5200. 8000. 1800. 7400. 4200. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 20. 38. 58. 114. 304. 694. 2656. 27458. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 20. 124. 1184. 6487. 87036. 5346732. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 11000. 16000. 4100. 15000. 8400. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 20. 38. 57. 113. 304. 702. 2903. 38847. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 20. 123. 1180. 6572. 96059. 7564415. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 17000. 30000. 4800. 19000. 14000. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 23. 36. 53. 109. 310. 756. 3655. 75229. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 18. 119. 1258. 7235. 128296. ******** LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2700. 1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 69 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 69 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1982 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 697. 2. 8. 39. 125. 390. 1840. 12100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 7.6991E+01 + 1.1480E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.7048E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.0012E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.5009E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 4.0767E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.062 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 17.78 ( 10 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.059 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 7.6991E+01 + 1.1480E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.7048E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.0012E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.5009E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 4.0767E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.062 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 7.7117E+01 + 1.1050E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.3882E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.0701E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0868E-01 COS(DECTIME) + 4.0858E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 13. 21. 7. 9. 16. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 1. 2. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 12. 14. 15. 17. 19. 19. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 4. 12. 33. 61. 146. 511. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 14. 21. 7. 9. 17. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 9. 12. 14. 15. 17. 19. 19. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 4. 12. 33. 61. 147. 527. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 13. 21. 7. 9. 16. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 2. 10. 12. 14. 16. 16. 18. 19. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 4. 12. 32. 60. 147. 554. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 15. 1 STATION NAME: Cuivre River at Troy, MO STATION NUMBER: 05514500 DRAINAGE AREA: 903.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silica (The values represented here are for SiO2. Values for loads and concentrations have been converted to represent elemental Si. Si = 0.46744 * SiO2 ) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19820101 TO 19941231 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 53 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 53 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1986 TO 1994 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 748. 2. 4. 30. 126. 349. 2092. 12100. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 812. 1. 7. 29. 132. 418. 1490. 74100. WARNING: THE RATIO OF LARGEST PREDICTION DATA SET STEAMFLOW AND LARGEST CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW EXCEEDS 2.0 MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.1908E+00 + 1.0830E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.7999E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.5850E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.205 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 13.44 ( 7 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.062 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.1908E+00 + 1.0830E+00 LN(FLOW) - 2.7999E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.5850E-02 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.205 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.3786E+00 + 1.0638E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.3870E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 3.5931E-02 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Cuivre River at Troy, MO (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05514500 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 21. 25. 12. 24. 24. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 3. 4. 2. 5. 4. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 6. 7. 8. 10. 11. 13. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 3. 8. 36. 84. 353. 3087. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 21. 25. 12. 24. 24. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 6. 7. 8. 10. 11. 13. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 3. 8. 36. 83. 355. 3162. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 20. 27. 12. 19. 21. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 7. 7. 8. 8. 9. 10. 13. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 3. 8. 33. 80. 318. 2443. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 17.