1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrogen LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 185 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 185 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1995 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 4664. 150. 375. 638. 1840. 5740. 12890. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.6148E+00 + 2.0591E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.8175E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.5851E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.9833E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.222 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 24.90 ( 34 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.873 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.6148E+00 + 2.0591E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.8175E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 1.5851E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.9833E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.222 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.4892E+00 + 2.0662E+00 LN(FLOW) - 4.1069E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 8.5556E-04 SIN(DECTIME) + 3.0377E-01 COS(DECTIME) NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 140. 290. 170. 79. 33. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 11. 25. 16. 7. 2. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 3. 6. 9. 11. 12. 14. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 7. 40. 160. 410. 645. 1182. 3294. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 140. 280. 170. 78. 33. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 3. 6. 8. 11. 12. 14. 16. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 7. 40. 158. 405. 638. 1173. 3345. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 130. 260. 150. 73. 33. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 1. 3. 6. 8. 10. 11. 12. 14. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 7. 40. 151. 377. 581. 1047. 2793. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 120. 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Nitrate + Nitrite LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 193 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 169 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1995 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 4589. 150. 359. 638. 1910. 5595. 12090. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.6508E+01 + 4.7781E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.6816E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.7387E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.3367E+00 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.585 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 84.18 ( 35 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.001 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.4330E+01 + 4.3102E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.4370E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 + 1.2017E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1828E+00 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.457 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 1.3039E+01 + 4.2201E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.4909E-01 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.0969E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 8.4493E-01 COS(DECTIME) WARNING: THE MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS TWICE THE MAXIMUM OBSERVED SAMPLE CONCENTRATION. 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 280. 680. 140. 170. 110. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 60. 170. 38. 41. 22. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 2. 6. 16. 30. 38. 53. 77. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 51. 270. 805. 1323. 3081. 6015. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 230. 540. 140. 140. 78. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 1. 5. 13. 23. 28. 39. 57. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 3. 44. 221. 671. 1091. 2481. 4535. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 150. 330. 130. 110. 51. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 2. 5. 9. 15. 18. 22. 30. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 4. 39. 178. 468. 710. 1323. 2051. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 98. 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Ammonia LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 148 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 136 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1995 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 4642. 155. 381. 771. 1940. 5270. 11100. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.6024E+01 + 1.0903E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.7762E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1541E+00 COS(DECTIME) - 4.4190E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.211 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 36.80 ( 26 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.078 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.7496E+01 + 1.0723E+00 LN(FLOW) + 7.5899E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.0968E+00 COS(DECTIME) - 4.4842E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.146 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.7959E+01 + 1.1233E+00 LN(FLOW) + 9.0120E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.1676E+00 COS(DECTIME) - 4.5207E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.50 6.40 0.87 0.81 1.70 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.42 1.20 0.16 0.17 0.28 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 6. 11. 24. 43. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.30 5.90 0.86 0.76 1.50 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 2. 6. 10. 22. 39. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.80 7.50 0.88 0.74 1.70 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 3. 7. 12. 29. 52. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 2.3 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Phosphorus LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 174 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 174 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1995 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 4595. 150. 349. 627. 1785. 5680. 11925. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.5225E+01 + 1.0836E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.1454E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.5552E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.3281E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.172 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 30.35 ( 31 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.499 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.5225E+01 + 1.0836E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.1454E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 1.5552E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.3281E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.172 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 8.5181E+01 + 1.0409E+00 LN(FLOW) + 1.2968E-01 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.3620E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 4.3101E-02 DECTIME 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.50 7.00 4.60 1.50 0.75 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.19 0.44 0.29 0.10 0.04 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 4. 10. 14. 23. 53. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.50 7.00 4.60 1.50 0.75 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 4. 10. 14. 24. 53. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3.40 6.70 4.60 1.40 0.70 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 1. 4. 10. 14. 22. 49. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 3.9 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Soluble Reactive Phosphorus (measured as Dissolved Orthophosphate) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 54 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 49 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1981 TO 1995 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 7703. 230. 403. 1455. 3195. 8773. 18900. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.7977E+00 + 1.2956E+00 LN(FLOW) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.171 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 8.13 ( 7 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.321 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 3.5033E+00 + 1.2653E+00 LN(FLOW) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 1.100 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 4.5141E+00 + 1.4124E+00 LN(FLOW) 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.70 3.40 2.40 0.83 0.32 STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 0.40 0.82 0.58 0.16 0.06 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 2. 5. 8. 14. 49. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 1.60 3.10 2.20 0.79 0.31 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 2. 5. 7. 13. 46. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 2.10 4.10 3.00 0.92 0.32 PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 0. 0. 0. 2. 6. 10. 18. 77. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 1.6 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Total Suspended Sediment LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 132 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 132 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1974 TO 1993 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5812. 150. 294. 555. 2285. 7386. 16070. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 7.7944E+01 + 1.3167E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.5456E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.5432E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.7284E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.386 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 18.62 ( 23 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.723 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 7.7944E+01 + 1.3167E+00 LN(FLOW) - 3.5456E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.5432E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.7284E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.386 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 7.7761E+01 + 1.2948E+00 LN(FLOW) + 4.2622E-02 SIN(DECTIME) - 2.6012E-01 COS(DECTIME) - 3.7055E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. WARNING: MAXIMUM PREDICTED CONCENTRATION EXCEEDS 100000 UG/L 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3500. 6700. 5400. 1400. 470. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 320. 710. 580. 180. 49. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 37. 94. 140. 207. 284. 322. 387. 445. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 17. 231. 877. 3869. 10710. 15931. 26971. 96567. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3500. 6500. 5300. 1400. 460. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 37. 92. 137. 202. 278. 316. 379. 435. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 17. 226. 858. 3786. 10466. 15577. 26450. 95199. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 3400. 6700. 5100. 1300. 460. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 38. 93. 134. 199. 279. 316. 375. 433. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 18. 231. 854. 3728. 10369. 15449. 26253. 89310. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 3400. 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Chloride LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 191 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 191 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1995 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 4613. 150. 374. 636. 1840. 5570. 13030. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.7569E+01 + 5.6456E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.2154E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.6816E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 8.4122E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 1.7807E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.040 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 50.67 ( 35 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.042 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.7569E+01 + 5.6456E-01 LN(FLOW) + 1.2154E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 3.6816E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 8.4122E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 1.7807E-02 DECTIME ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.040 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = - 2.5314E+01 + 4.3292E-01 LN(FLOW) + 2.1065E-02 LN(FLOW)**2 - 2.6318E-02 SIN(DECTIME) + 6.4406E-02 COS(DECTIME) + 1.6906E-02 DECTIME NOTE: AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION AND SCHWARZ POSTERIOR PROBABILITY CRITERIA DID NOT SELECT SAME BEST FIT MODEL. MODEL SELECTED ON BASIS OF AIKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION. 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 350. 560. 420. 250. 160. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 9. 18. 14. 8. 5. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 15. 24. 32. 42. 53. 62. 70. 79. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 25. 90. 207. 463. 853. 1164. 1620. 3965. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 350. 560. 420. 250. 160. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 15. 24. 32. 42. 53. 62. 70. 79. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 25. 90. 207. 463. 853. 1164. 1620. 3981. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 360. 580. 440. 250. 150. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 16. 24. 31. 41. 53. 62. 70. 79. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 25. 88. 204. 463. 882. 1222. 1734. 4572. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 330. 1 STATION NAME: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN STATION NUMBER: 05330000 DRAINAGE AREA: 16200.0 SQUARE MILES CONSTITUENT: Dissolved Silica (The values represented here are for SiO2. Values for loads and concentrations have been converted to represent elemental Si. Si = 0.46744 * SiO2 ) LOAD ESTIMATES FOR 19730101 TO 19950531 TOTAL NUMBER OF OBS.: 136 NUMBER OF UNCENSORED OBS.: 136 CALIBRATION DATA PERIOD OF RECORD: 1973 TO 1995 CALIBRATION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5121. 150. 287. 537. 1875. 6590. 14440. 91500. PREDICTION DATA SET STREAMFLOW SUMMARY STATISTICS MEAN MINIMUM 10TH PCT 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT MAXIMUM 5532. 141. 360. 814. 2440. 7003. 15100. 90900. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.4017E+00 + 1.1272E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.8134E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.8040E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.239 TURNBULL-WEISS LIKELIHOOD RATIO NORMALITY TEST STATISTIC = 49.55 ( 24 DF) PROBABILITY LEVEL = 0.002 LINEAR ATTRIBUTION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.4017E+00 + 1.1272E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.8134E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 2.8040E-01 COS(DECTIME) ESTIMATED RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.239 LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATE OF BEST FIT MODEL --------------------------------------------------- LN(LOAD) = + 3.5093E+00 + 1.1213E+00 LN(FLOW) - 1.5253E-01 SIN(DECTIME) + 1.8779E-01 COS(DECTIME) 1 STATION: Minnesota River at Jordan, MN (CONTINUED) STATION NUMBER: 05330000 LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 270. 450. 320. 200. 93. STD DEV LOAD (TON/DAY) 18. 38. 27. 18. 7. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 14. 17. 19. 23. 25. 27. 29. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 33. 118. 348. 722. 1023. 1697. 4828. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LINEAR ATTRIBUTION PARAM. EST.) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 260. 440. 320. 200. 90. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 10. 14. 16. 19. 22. 24. 26. 29. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 33. 115. 339. 705. 998. 1659. 4726. LOADS ESTIMATED BY RATING CURVE METHOD (LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION PARAM. EST.) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL SPRING SUMMER FALL WINTER AVERAGE LOAD (TON/DAY) 270. 460. 340. 190. 83. PREDICTED CONCENTRATION SUMMARY STATISTICS (MG/L) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 11. 15. 16. 18. 21. 22. 24. 26. PREDICTED LOAD SUMMARY STATISTICS (TON/DAY) MINIMUM 25TH PCT MEDIAN 75TH PCT 90TH PCT 95TH PCT 99TH PCT MAXIMUM 5. 33. 112. 343. 726. 1046. 1678. 5095. LOAD ESTIMATED BY BEALE RATIO ESTIMATOR --------------------------------------- AVERAGE ANNUAL LOAD (TON/DAY): 260.